So Many Scenarios!

06/30/2010 12:19 AM - 

Contributed by Dani Socher

This summer is one of the most important in NBA history- for fantasy basketball players. There are many big names on the free agent market- Chris Bosh, Dwayne Wade and Joe Johnson, to name a few, but the biggest is LeBron. This seems fitting as he is also the best player in fantasy basketball. The other marquee players will be covered in a later article, but for now we will keep it to LeBron. We will cover all the likely scenarios that apply to Lebron this summer.
Lebron James- Likely Scenarios:
1) Stays with the Cavs. It is assumed that if he stays with the Cavs, there will be no other new players on the team.

2009-2010 Stats: 29.7 PPG, 8.6 APG, 7.3 RPG, 1.0 BPG, 1.6 SPG, .503 FG%, .767 FT%.

If LeBron stayed with the Cavs, his stats would likely remain the same. Sure, his percentages might go up a bit, but his stats have stayed around the same the last couple of years, and that’s unlikely to change. He is still a Top 2 pick and the likely number 1, but his stats will stay the same.

2010-2011 PROJECTED Stats: 30.4 PPG, 8.1 APG, 7.8RPG, 1.4 BPG, 1.3 SPG, .532 FG%, .789 FT%

2) Goes to the Bulls. The most likely scenario mentioned here, and one that would involve Chris Bosh.

2009-2010 Stats: 29.7 PPG, 8.6 APG, 7.3 RPG, 1.0 BPG, 1.6 SPG, .503 FG%, .767 FT%.

Now, LeBron would be on a very different team here. The Bulls (in the situation mentioned here) would be surrounding LeBron with two legitimate young stars in Joakim Noah and Derrick Rose, and one superstar in Chris Bosh. Could LeBron coexist with these guys? Derrick Rose, one would think, would be the toughest to coexist with, as Bosh and Noah both play off the ball mostly. Rose controls the ball, often, for 15-20 seconds of the shot clock on Bulls possessions. LeBron arriving would change that, quite obviously, but Rose is a point guard. He needs the ball. LeBron’s stats would suffer in this situation. His numbers would go down across the board except for FG%. Also, he would probably turn the ball over quite a lot less.

2010-2011 PROJECTED Stats: 28.4 PPG, 7.5 APG, 6.0 RPG, 0.5 BPG, 1.5 SPG, .544 FG%, .789 FT%

3) LeBron Goes to the Heat. This situation would involve Wade, obviously, and Bosh also. It may be unlikely, but we must cover all of our bases, mustn’t we? (By the way, this is my first piece and I know I sound a little creepy. I will work on it. My apology.)
2009-2010 Stats: 29.7 PPG, 8.6 APG, 7.3 RPG, 1.0 BPG, 1.6 SPG, .503 FG%, .767 FT%.
This situation puts LeBron with two of the best ten players in the NBA. You may immediately assume his stats would go way down, but this is not necessary true. (These ellipses are just to let you know that I am not sure about this one) The Heat will have to completely gut their roster to get these stars together, and this should mean plenty of touches to go around. Dwayne Wade is one of the smartest players in the league, LeBron also. LeBron’s assist should abound with two big scorers like Bosh and Wade, and he will improve in just about everything and stay the same in scoring.

2010 PROJECTED Stats: 29.0 PPG, 9.8 APG, 8,2 RPG, 1.4 BPG, 1.3 SPG, .511 FG%, .789 FT% (Or his stats will fall through the roof. I changed my mind a lot on this one. *#@!. That was a swear word in case you couldn’t tell.)

So to round up…. Actually I don’t need to round up– that was pretty freaking simple. Shalom

This post was submitted by Dani Socher.


Comments

  1. Mike Gallagher says:

    That’s a pretty significant increase should he stay in Cleveland! 53 percent is no joke! I think LeBron would move to the second best player in fantasy should he not play in Cleveland (Durant is a superstar).I think Wade and Bosh would lose more value (percentage-wise) compared to LeBron. He’ll run the offense and Wade would lose some assists (I doubt that happens though).

    I honestly think LeBron isn’t going anywhere, but nothing is certain until he signs (which won’t come soon enough).

    ONE MORE DAY!!!!

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